Newsletters - June 2021

The latest Devon data shows a sharp increase in the number of positive COVID-19 cases in the 0 to 19 year old, and 20 to 39 year old age groups. Cases among the under 19s have risen from 7.87 cases per 100,000 of the population, to 101.1 cases per 100,000. Cases among the 20 to 39 year old age group have risen this month from 11.67 cases per 100,000 to 106.2 cases per 100,000. The trajectory describes a sharp rise in the two younger age groups, with much less of a rise among the older age groups.

The COVID-19 case rate in Devon has been increasing over the past couple of weeks, a pattern which is reflected both regionally and nationally. The latest rate for Devon is 26.7 per 100,000 which is well below the national average of 77.5 per 100,000. Across the districts in Devon, Exeter has the highest rate of COVID-19 cases (59.4 per 100,000), many of which relate to a couple of recent outbreaks. Driving that UK-wide escalation is the latest Delta strain of the virus, because it spreads more easily between people than previous variants of coronavirus.

Yesterday the Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, announced a delay of up to four weeks to the easing of coronavirus restrictions planned for Monday 21 June. Current restrictions, with a few exceptions, remain in place and you should follow the guidance on what you can and cannot do until Monday 19 July. The weekly case rate in Devon right now is 16 cases per 100,000. It was seven per 100,000 a week ago. Case rates are currently highest and increasing most rapidly in those aged 20 to 39 years old. The more transmissible Delta strain is not the dominant variant in Devon just yet. But it is very likely to become so, just as it is already in many parts of the country.

Temperatures are set to soar this weekend, and the world’s leaders attending the G7 conference in Cornwall will be seeing the south-west at its sunny best. And while many a hot topic will be on the discussion table indoors, among them no doubt coronavirus, the higher temperatures, indoors and out, carry health risks that can be amplified during the pandemic, particularly for those spending more time at home because of self-isolating. Social distancing measures have also reduced the opportunities for people to check on vulnerable friends and neighbours and some people may avoid seeking emergency healthcare when needed because of fears of catching coronavirus.

We were asked this week how Devon has been able to keep case numbers down, while elsewhere in the country they’re rising. It’s partly due to people following the public health guidance. And it’s a reflection of the speed in which authorities have responded to outbreaks, and how they’ve worked within those settings to prevent further spread. Testing and tracing in Devon has also been effective. Devon’s rollout with the vaccine is also going very well, and that’s having a positive impact on the numbers of people becoming seriously ill or needing hospitalisation due to coronavirus.